Team Mitch Response To New Bluegrass Poll

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
October 6, 2014
Contact: Allison Moore 502-618-1372

14 Independent Surveys & Expert Analysis Show McConnell Ahead In Kentucky

LOUISVILLE – Team Mitch today released the following statement and background information in response to the latest Bluegrass Poll. 

"After fourteen straight public polls all showing Sen. McConnell with a clear lead, this Bluegrass Poll is obviously an outlier. We're very comfortable with where this race stands and are confident Sen. McConnell will be re-elected in November," said Team Mitch spokeswoman Allison Moore. 

BACKGROUND:  

Data Experts See Very High Probability Of McConnell Win 

Washington Post’s Election Lab Finds Sen. McConnell With A >99% Of Victory. (“2014 Midterm Elections Forecast Election Lab,” Washington Post, Accessed 10/6/14) 

Five Thirty Eight Finds Sen. McConnell With An 88% Of Victory. (“FiveThirtyEight’s Senate Forecast,” FiveThirtyEight, 10/5/14) 

The New York Times’ Upshot Senate Forecast Shows Sen. McConnell With A 92% Of Victory. (“Who Will Win The Senate?,” New York Times10/6/14) 

Poll Aggregators: McConnell 47 – Grimes 42 

The HuffPost Pollster Average Shows McConnell 47.7%, Alison Grimes 42.2%. (“2014 Kentucky Senate: McConnell vs. Grimes,” Huffington Post, Accessed 10/6/14) 

The Real Clear Politics Average Has Mitch McConnell 47.2%, Alison Lundergan Grimes 41.8% (“Kentucky Senate - McConnell vs. Grimes,” Real Clear Politics, Accessed 10/6/14) 

14 Previous Public Polls Show Sen. McConnell With A Clear Lead 

CBS/NYT Poll: McConnell +6 (McConnell 47, Grimes 41, 1689 LV, 9/20-10/1)

Ipsos/Reuters: McConnell +4 (McConnell 46, Grimes, 42, 944 LV, 9/8-9/12)

Gravis: McConnell +10 (McConnell, 51, Grimes, 41, 839LV, 9/16)

ccAdvertising: McConnell +9 (McConnell 42, Grimes 33, 2282, 9/15/14-9/16/14)

Magellan: McConnell +8 (McConnell 50, Grimes 42; 742LV 9/4-9/7)

CBS/NYT Poll: McConnell +5 (McConnell 47, Grimes 42; 2,130LV 8/18-9/2)

NBC/Marist Poll: McConnell +8 (McConnell 47, Grimes 39; 691LV 9/2-9/4)

POS: McConnell +5 (McConnell 47, Grimes 42; 600LV 9/1-9/3)

Rasmussen Poll: McConnell +5 (McConnell 46, Grimes 41; 750LV 9/1-9/2)

CNN Poll: McConnell +4 (McConnell 50, Grimes 46; 671LV 8/28-9/1)

Bluegrass Poll: McConnell +4 (McConnell 46, Grimes 42; 569LV 8/25-8/27)

PPP Poll: McConnell +4 (McConnell 44, Grimes 40; 991LV 8/7-8/10)

Bluegrass Poll: McConnell +2 (McConnell 47, Grimes 45; 604LV 7/18-7/23)

CBS/NYT Poll: McConnell +4 (McConnell 50, Grimes 46; 1,515LV 7/5-7/24)

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